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Novaya Zemlya effect

the Sun, a fortnight early
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This article's subject was disbelieved for three centuries and is now ordinary physics. The observation was correct when it was made, the men who doubted it were reasoning properly from what they knew, and nobody in the account behaves badly. Editors are asked not to look for a villain.

Novaya Zemlya effect
a polar mirage
A sixteenth-century line engraving of two three-masted ships under sail on a hatched sea. Above them in the sky is a diagram of a halo display: a central sun drawn with a face, two mock suns with faces flanking it on a ring, curved arcs above and to either side, and a second faced sun within a vertical oval below
Two of Barentsz's ships under a display of mock suns, seen in 1596 and engraved for de Veer's account. Parhelia are common, were familiar, and are drawn here as carefully as everything else in the book. Nobody disputed this one.
TypeAtmospheric refraction
First recorded24 January 1597[1]
ByGerrit de Veer
WhereNovaya Zemlya, about 76° north
What was seenThe Sun, about a fortnight early
The crew's first explanationThat the date was wrong
Seen by everybody27 January 1597
The mechanism
CauseA temperature inversion, acting as a duct
Light is guided forAt least 400 km[4]
The Sun is lifted byAbout 5 degrees
Standing
Doubted forThree centuries
EstablishedW. H. Lehn, 1979 to 1981[5]

The Novaya Zemlya effect is a polar mirage in which the Sun is seen while it is still below the horizon, sometimes for weeks before it is due. Light entering a strong temperature inversion is guided along inside it, bending with the curve of the Earth for several hundred kilometres, and arrives from a direction the Sun is not in.[4]

It takes its name from the winter of 1596, when Willem Barentsz's third expedition was frozen in on the archipelago of Novaya Zemlya and could not get out. On 24 January 1597, in the middle of the polar night, the ship's officer Gerrit de Veer wrote down that he had seen the Sun.[1]

The winter

A line engraving of a timber lodge with a finial on its ridge, half buried in snow drifts, in a bare landscape of low hills. Men in furs work in the foreground over a carcass, another fires a musket from the doorway at a polar bear approaching from the right, and cut timber and sledges lie about
The lodge, built from the ship's own timbers after the ice took her. This is where the company were on 24 January, and the Sun they saw was low on the southern horizon beyond it.

The expedition was looking for a north-east passage to Asia and did not find one. The ice closed on the ship, the ship was crushed, and the crew built a lodge out of driftwood and the timbers and spent the winter in it at about seventy-six degrees north.

At that latitude the Sun goes below the horizon in the autumn and does not come back until well into February. Everyone aboard knew this; it is the sort of thing men who have sailed to seventy-six north know.

What de Veer wrote

On 24 January he and two others saw the edge of the Sun above the southern horizon. It was, by any reckoning available to them, about a fortnight too early.

His shipmates did not believe him, and the explanation they reached for is the interesting part of the story: they said he had muddled the calendar.

That was not a slur. The Dutch Republic was not on one calendar. Brabant and Zeeland had gone over to the new style in December 1582 and Holland a fortnight later, but Friesland, Groningen, Gelderland, Utrecht, Overijssel and Drenthe did not follow for another hundred years.[2] In 1597 a Dutch ship could carry men who disagreed about the date by ten days and were each of them right at home, and ten days is very nearly the discrepancy de Veer was reporting.

They did not doubt the sky. They doubted his arithmetic, which was the reasonable thing to doubt.

On 27 January the Sun came up in full view of everybody, and the argument stopped.[1]

Why it was not believed

The account came home with the survivors and was printed, and for the better part of three hundred years it was treated as an error or an embroidery.

The objection was not stupid. Light travels in straight lines; the Sun was demonstrably below the horizon; therefore it could not be seen. Every part of that is correct except the first, and the first is correct to within about half a degree, which is a very good approximation almost everywhere on Earth and almost all of the time.

It is worth being exact about what was being denied. Nobody doubted that air refracts: the ordinary lifting of the Sun by roughly its own diameter at the horizon was known and allowed for, and every sunrise anywhere in the world is a few minutes early because of it. What was denied was that the same effect could run to five degrees and a fortnight. The men who denied it were not asserting that light goes straight. They were asserting that it does not go that crooked.

What is actually happening

Over polar ice, air at the surface can be very much colder than the air a few hundred metres above it. The boundary between them is a temperature inversion, and it behaves as a duct: a ray entering it at a shallow angle is bent back down as it rises into warmer air, rises again, and is carried along the inversion instead of leaving it.[3]

If the duct holds its shape for several hundred kilometres, the ray follows the curvature of the Earth rather than departing from it, and the Sun below the horizon is delivered to an observer who has no line of sight to it at all. Raising the disc by five degrees requires the guiding to be sustained for at least four hundred kilometres, and the temperature gradient inside the layer determines how much is possible.[4]

The image arrives flattened and drawn out, often broken into bars, because the duct is not uniform. The same machinery at shorter range is looming, which lifts a coastline instead of a star. De Veer's Sun was a sliver, and slivers are what the mechanism produces.

Since

W. H. Lehn and colleagues took the problem up between 1979 and 1981, modelled the ray paths through realistic polar inversions, and showed that the observation of 1597 is not merely possible but expected under conditions that occur.[5] The effect has since been photographed, and it has been seen well outside the Arctic.

Lehn also applied it to the Norse. Iceland and Greenland are below the horizon from the places the sagas describe them being seen from, and a duct of this kind would put them above it; the discovery of the North Atlantic may owe something to an atmosphere that occasionally shows people what is over the edge.[6]

The general position is worth stating plainly, because it is unusual. A man in a hut on Novaya Zemlya wrote down what he saw, was disbelieved by his friends on the spot and by everybody else for three hundred years, and was right. The correction, when it came, did not overturn the physics that had been used against him. It simply established that the physics goes further than anyone had allowed.

See also

  • Looming – the same mechanism at shorter range, lifting objects instead of the Sun
  • Celestial refraction – the ordinary half-degree, allowed for by every astronomer
  • Reluctant light – a discredited doctrine built on cases very like this one, and on the wrong explanation of them
  • Norse cosmology – whose people may have found Greenland by way of this effect
  • Fata Morgana – the same duct at temperate latitudes, stacking a coast instead of raising a star
  • Min Min light – the same duct again, carrying a car's headlights over three hundred kilometres
  • Sun – which is never quite where it is seen

References

  1. ^ Gerrit de Veer's account of the third Barentsz voyage, printed at Amsterdam in 1598. The first sighting is of 24 January 1597, by de Veer and two others; on 27 January the disc was seen by the whole company.
  2. ^ Brabant, Zeeland and the Generality Lands went over on 14 December 1582 and Holland on 1 January 1583, each dropping ten days to do it. Gelderland waited until 1700, Utrecht and Overijssel until later that year, Friesland and Groningen until the last day of it, and Drenthe until 1701. The gap between the reckonings stood at ten days throughout, so a man keeping the old style would report the Sun about ten days before a Gregorian shipmate expected it. The accusation was the first thing a reasonable person would think of.
  3. ^ The mechanism is ducting, not simple refraction: the ray is trapped between the top and bottom of the inversion and propagates along it, in the manner of light in a fibre or sound in the ocean's sound channel.
  4. ^ Raising the solar disc by 5° requires the ray to be guided across at least 400 km, with the achievable elevation set by the temperature gradient within the inversion layer. The figure is worth working through, because it shows why ordinary refraction will not do: a 5° lift is a bend of 0.087 radians, and sustaining that over 400 km implies a ray curving on a radius near 4,600 km. The Earth's own radius is 6,370 km, so the light must bend appreciably tighter than the surface it is travelling over. That is what a duct does and what refraction in ordinary air cannot.
  5. ^ W. H. Lehn and co-workers, 1979–1981, who modelled the ray paths and showed the 1597 observation to be consistent with attainable polar conditions rather than exceptional.
  6. ^ Lehn's reading of the sagas: the sighting distances described are too great for a spherical Earth without ducting, and are unremarkable with it.
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