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The Millikan creep

an error with a half-life
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No experiment described in this article went wrong. The apparatus worked, the observers were competent, and every individual measurement in the sequence was defensible on its own terms. What failed was the disposition of a whole discipline towards a number it already had. Editors are asked not to supply a culprit.

The Millikan creep
the charge of the electron, 1913 onwards
A line diagram of laboratory apparatus: a tall bath enclosing a chamber, with two horizontal plates lettered M and N at its foot, a light source and lenses entering from the left, an observing telescope at the right, a switch and battery at the upper left, a manometer, and a compression pump at the top right
Millikan's apparatus, from his paper of 1913. Oil drops fall between the plates M and N, lit from the left and watched through the telescope at the right, and the charge follows from how they move. Nothing in this diagram is the reason the answer came out low.
QuantityThe elementary charge, e
Millikan's value, 19131.592 × 10−19 C[1]
The value now1.602176634 × 10−19 C
He was low byAbout 0.6 per cent
BecauseThe accepted viscosity of air was wrong[2]
What happened next
Published valuesRose, and kept rising
OverSome decades
MechanismResults near his were checked less
Described byFeynman, 1974[4]
Since
The charge is nowFixed by definition
Fixed on20 May 2019

The Millikan creep is the name given to a pattern in the published values of the elementary charge: after Robert Millikan measured it in 1913 and got a figure about six parts in a thousand too low, the values obtained by everybody afterwards climbed towards the truth by small steps over several decades, instead of scattering about it as they should have.[1]

Nobody's apparatus was at fault. The interest of the episode, and the reason it is in this encyclopedia, is that the error was not in any instrument or in any person but in the arrangement of a discipline: it lived in what physicists were willing to publish, and it decayed the way something with a half-life decays.

The measurement

Millikan and his student Harvey Fletcher measured the charge by suspending charged oil drops between plates, balancing gravity against an electric field, and finding that the charges came out as whole multiples of a single small quantity. It was a beautiful experiment, it was right in every essential, and it got him the Nobel Prize in 1923.[3]

The number he published in 1913 was 1.592 × 10−19 coulombs. The value now is 1.602176634 × 10−19, so he was low by about 0.6 per cent.[1]

The viscosity

The reason is dull and entirely creditable: to get the charge from the motion of a falling drop you need the viscosity of air, and the accepted figure for the viscosity of air was slightly wrong.[2]

Millikan used the best value available. Nothing he did with it was careless. An error in a constant you take from the literature propagates straight through a good experiment and comes out the other end looking exactly like a result.

What happened to the number

The values published after him did not scatter around the true figure. They climbed.

Each new determination came out a little above the last, and the sequence walked upward for decades until it arrived where it should have started. Plotted against time it looks less like a set of independent measurements of a constant than like a quantity that was itself slowly changing.

Why

A scatter plot with neutron lifetime in seconds on the vertical axis, from 850 to 1100, and years from 1960 to 2018 on the horizontal. Successive points with vertical error bars begin near 1010 seconds with wide bars, fall in steps through 930 and 895, and settle close to 880 with bars that shrink as the sequence advances
The Particle Data Group's successive evaluations of the neutron's lifetime, 1960 to 2018. A different constant, and nothing to do with Millikan: it is here because it is the same shape. Several of these evaluations do not overlap the one before them at all, and the sequence moved in one direction throughout.

Richard Feynman gave the explanation at Caltech's commencement in 1974, in the address published as Cargo Cult Science.[4]

When they got a number that was too high above Millikan's, they thought something must be wrong – and they would look for and find a reason why something might be wrong. When they got a number closer to Millikan's value they didn't look so hard.
– Richard Feynman

That is the whole mechanism, and it requires nobody to do anything improper. A measurement far from the accepted value gets audited; a measurement near it does not. Both audits are honest and only one of them happens, so errors in one direction are found and errors in the other are kept. The literature then advances by however much the next experimenter's nerve allows.

The shape is not confined to 1913. The Particle Data Group re-evaluates the measured constants every two years and publishes the history of each, and some of those histories march in one direction across decades with error bars that do not always cover where the value ended up. Whether the cause in any particular case is the one Feynman described, or the chronic underestimation of systematic error, or both, is not something this article can settle. The pattern is not a historical curiosity.

What this is not

It is worth being careful, because the episode is often filed with cases it does not belong to.

It is not fraud. It is not an apparatus reporting itself, where the instrument generated the signal. It is not an observer at the threshold of perception, where the reading was a judgement that could not be calibrated. In those the phenomenon was absent and the measurement was of nothing. Nor is it a caveat that failed to travel, where the measurement was sound and only the uncertainty its authors had stated went missing between the paper and the public.

Here the electron is real, its charge is real, every apparatus worked, and every individual number was obtained honestly by somebody competent. The defect is in the population and not in any member of it, which is why it took a generation to clear and why no one person could have prevented it.

Since

The creep is over, and it is over in a way that would have amused Millikan.

On 20 May 2019 the elementary charge stopped being something anybody measures. The revision of the SI that detached the kilogram from its cylinder also fixed e at exactly 1.602176634 × 10−19 coulombs, by definition, as a constant of nature given a number rather than a number given by nature.[5] The precedent was thirty-six years old: the speed of light was fixed by decree in 1983, for the same reason, when the measurement of it became more precise than the metre it had to be expressed in.

A quantity that took several decades to stop being wrong can no longer be wrong at all, because it is no longer the sort of thing that can be. The scrutiny that failed for thirty years was made irrelevant rather than fixed.

See also

  • The Allison effect – where the reading was a judgement, and there was nothing to read
  • N-rays – expectation producing a signal in a single laboratory rather than across a literature
  • Bathybius haeckelii – an artefact of preparation, honestly described
  • Le Grand K – retired by the same revision that fixed the charge
  • The age of the Earth – a number that also moved steadily in one direction, and the wrong one
  • The 21 grams experiment – a number that never moved at all, having only ever been taken once
  • The dol – a measurement abandoned because it would not replicate, and given a tidier reason afterwards
  • Vic Tandy – a number that travelled without the ten per cent its authors attached to it
  • The speed of light – the same twenty years of agreed error, under the same compiler

References

  1. ^ R. A. Millikan, 1913: the charges on the drops came out as integer multiples of 1.592 × 10−19 C, equivalently 4.774 electrostatic units. The modern value is 1.602176634 × 10−19 C, so his is low by about 0.6 per cent.
  2. ^ The determination requires the viscosity of air, and the accepted value for it was itself somewhat off. This is the ordinary way a constant taken from the literature carries its error into everything built on it.
  3. ^ The work was done with Harvey Fletcher, then Millikan's graduate student, who established that oil would serve where water evaporated too fast. Millikan published the principal paper under his own name alone; Fletcher's account of how that was arranged was not made public until after his death. The Nobel Prize followed in 1923. None of this bears on the measurement, which is not in question here and remains one of the best of its period.
  4. ^ R. P. Feynman, Caltech commencement address, 1974, published as "Cargo Cult Science". The Millikan sequence is his example of a way in which researchers fool themselves without anybody lying.
  5. ^ Resolution of the 26th CGPM, in force 20 May 2019, which fixed the elementary charge, the Planck constant, the Boltzmann constant and the Avogadro constant at exact values. See Le Grand K, retired by the same document.
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